Isn't it time to declare this race OVER? The deadline is the June 28 Rolex Rankings and no other Koreans will pass the top-3 in the next month and a half. HoJo is almost a lock for the 4th spot ... for that to change, I would say that Ryu must win at least one of the two upcoming Majors, while HoJo plays sucky for six weeks (Point One might happen, but Point Two will not). Forget about Six and The Hulk.
As for Team Japan, NASA has been surprisingly mediocre in 2021, but should still coast to a secured spot. The other spot is a free-for-all between Shibuno, Furue and Iname. I'd bet on Iname who is playing like a beast, while Shibuno takes her occasional lumps on the LPGA tour.
For Team USA, I don't see Korda Two, DK or Lexi dropping out of the top-15. Korda One at #14 would appear to be in a precarious position, but she has some point space over Ernst (16) and Kupcho (17). I recall Grandma Judy mention in passing at LA how high Kupcho was in the rankings without having a win. That's the Jon Rahm effect ... turn pro and start firing your street sweeper right out of the starting gate. I'd like to see JK get that first win soon and shake up the team.
Paphangkorn and Ariya 51 look bulletproof for Team Thailand ... ditto Minjee and Greeny for Team Oz ... ditto Nordqvist and Sagstrom for Team Sweden ... ditto Popov and Masson for Team Germany.
For Team China, the SS Feng isn't getting moved (figuratively or literally), but there is legit race between Liu (63) and Lin (75).
Reid and Hull are in the lead for Team England, but Hall is still within striking distance if she nails down a win somewhere, which is not impossible for her.
For Team USA, I don't see Korda Two, DK or Lexi dropping out of the top-15. Korda One at #14 would appear to be in a precarious position, but she has some point space over Ernst (16) and Kupcho (17). I recall Grandma Judy mention in passing at LA how high Kupcho was in the rankings without having a win. That's the Jon Rahm effect ... turn pro and start firing your street sweeper right out of the starting gate. I'd like to see JK get that first win soon and shake up the team. Reid and Hull are in the lead for Team England Great Britain, but Hall is still within striking distance if she nails down a win somewhere, which is not impossible for her.
If Jess drops out of the Top 15 and isn't replaced by a fellow American then Team USA will qualify only 3.
The 4 nations of the United Kingdom compete separately in golf and curling...except in the Olympics. Team Great Britain encompasses athletes from that island, while those from Northern Ireland have a choice of competing for either Britain or Ireland. Both Stephanie Meadow and Rory McIlroy have declared their intent to play for the Republic.
Let's briefly touch on the men's field for a bit. Team Daehan Minguk currently consists of Sungjae Im and Siwoo Kim. Ben An would have to play out of his mind over the next several weeks to book a return trip to the 5 ring circus, which doesn't look likely. Takumi Kanaya, who plays most of his golf on the JGTO and has 3 career wins, will join Masters champion Hideki Matsuyama for the host team.
Just like the Korean women the American men have an embarrassment of riches to choose from...even more so, as there are TEN players inside the top 15. With top banana DJ choosing not to enter the Olympic bubble the team currently consists of Justin Thomas, Bryson DeChambeau, Xander Schauffele and Collin Morikawa. Patrick Reed is in the mix for snagging one of the 4 spots while 2016 bronze medalist Matt Kuchar is nowhere in the conversation and Rickie Fowler has fallen off the face of the earth outside the OWGR top 100.
Is it over? Well, I think the top three can book their flights. Hyo Joo is pretty solid, but So Yeon is playing well; if she surprises and wins the US Women's Open she could definitely grab that final spot. Lee6 is not playing as well as Ryu, but she seems to peak at the Open, so who knows?
I think no one else has a real chance at this point, but I'll keep listing the others anyways.
On the team: Ranking Move Name Points 1 Same Jin Young Ko 9.43 2 Same Inbee Park 8.61 3 Same Sei Young Kim 7.85 7 Same Hyo Joo Kim 5.55
On the Bubble 17 (-2) So Yeon Ryu 3.95 19 (-1) Jeongeun Lee6 3.61
Still in the Hunt 22 (-3) Ha Na Jang 3.57 25 (-5) Min Ji Park 3.43 26 (-2) Hae Ran Ryu 3.39 28 (-1) Sung Hyun Park 3.27 32 Same Mirim Lee 3.04 34 (-1) MJ Hur 3.00 36 Same A Lim Kim 2.92 38 (-1) Hye Jin Choi 2.75 39 (-1) Hee Jeong Lim 2.70
Week of June 7: (at this point I can't see much chance the team is going to change. I think it's still mathematically possible that Ryu or Lee6 could win the KPMG and surpass Hyo Joo, but the chances of that are exceedingly slight. I mean, Lee6 had a 12th at a Major this week and still lost ground. So this will be the last update unless something amazing happens).
On the team: Ranking Move Name Points 1 Same Jin Young Ko 9.38 2 Same Inbee Park 8.86 3 Same Sei Young Kim 7.88 8 (-1) Hyo Joo Kim 5.61
On the Bubble 18 (-1) So Yeon Ryu 3.93 20 (+2) Ha Na Jang 3.87
Still in the Hunt 22 (-2) Jeongeun Lee6 3.74 25 (+1) Hae Ran Ryu 3.56 27 (-2) Min Ji Park 3.45 31 (-3) Sung Hyun Park 3.18 33 (-1) Mirim Lee 3.00 35 (-1) MJ Hur 2.88 36 Same A Lim Kim 2.88 39 (-1) Hye Jin Choi 2.83
Week of June 13: Ah, I can't resist updating this again! After the Mediheal.
On the team: Ranking Move Name Points 1 Same Jin Young Ko 9.42 2 Same Inbee Park 8.61 3 Same Sei Young Kim 7.66 9 (-1) Hyo Joo Kim 5.44
On the Bubble 16 (+2) So Yeon Ryu 4.14 20 Same Ha Na Jang 3.87
Still in the Hunt 22 (+5) Min Ji Park 3.68 23 (-1) Jeongeun Lee6 3.67 27 (-2) Hae Ran Ryu 3.45 32 (-1) Sung Hyun Park 3.10 34 (-1) Mirim Lee 2.96 35 (+1) A Lim Kim 2.90 37 (-2) MJ Hur 2.83 38 (+1) Hye Jin Choi 2.83
Min Lee just kicked Teresa Lu to the curb for Team Taiwan. I'm guessing Lu has to win one of the next two JLPGA events to have any chance of regaining her spot.
Yu Liu jumped back ahead of Xi Yu Lin by two spots, but Liu is skipping Meijer, giving Lin a free shot at passing ahead again. It's too early to rule out an iron bar across the kneecap.
I assume Castren's leap to #71 gets her into Tokyo. Her teammate will probably be Sanna Nuutinen (#238), whoever that is. It would appear that Minea Blomqivst's presence on the LPGA didn't generate much excitement for Finnish women's golf.